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Expertise
Forecasting & demand planning
Annual targets into daily plans, with forecasting methods from my MSc.
~20dealerships planned (freelance)
365days of plan per dealer and model
Day to day
A developing capability: demand turned into plans at Atlas Honda and in freelance work, with forecasting methods from my MSc.
- At Atlas Honda, converted sales requirements into build plans.
- Freelance: split annual dealer targets by model and month, with launch-month rules, into whole-number daily plans.
- Independent rebuild on invented data: pace tracking against plan and monthly dealer reports.
- MSc: moving averages, exponential smoothing, MAPE and forecast bias, intermittent and promotional demand, and what each means for safety stock.
How it runs
- TargetOne number per dealer for the year.
- SeasonalityTwelve monthly percentages that always add to 100.
- Model mixSplit by model, honouring launch timing.
- Daily planWhole-number daily figures, tracked against actuals.
What I know
Methods
What I improved
Planning should turn complexity into action.
Open to Production Planner, Materials Planner, Production Controller and Supply Chain Planning roles in the UK.